Russia invests ‘disproportionately costly’ offensive to take Bakhmut despite low strategic advantage: UK intel

Russia’s battle for the city of Bakhmut has been disproportionately expensive for Moscow, and Moscow has said that its military would gain little strategic advantage if it succeeds, even if it captures the capital.

The British Ministry of Defense has warned that Russian forces are trying to encircle the city and have a “small” advantage in the southern axis.

But the ministry assessed that Russia would have little strategic advantage if it succeeded in capturing Bakhmut, despite throwing huge resources into the attack on Donetsk city.

Ukrainian tank crews are seen on Nov. 27, 2022 at the Bakhmut forward base in Ukraine.

Ukrainian tank crews are seen on Nov. 27, 2022 at the Bakhmut forward base in Ukraine.
(Diego Herrera Carcedo/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

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“Russia has prioritized Bakhmut as its main offensive effort since early August 2022,” the ministry said in an intelligence press release. “Capturing the city would have limited operational value.

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Defense officials assessed that they could better “threat” Russia in cities like Kramatorsk and Sloviansk, which lie north of the city, but questioned how much it would cost Moscow.

“This campaign was disproportionately expensive to the potential gains,” Intel Update said. “There is a realistic possibility that Bakhmut’s arrest could become a primarily symbolic political goal for Russia.”

Ukraine  Donbass  December 2nd at the Torik Front Camp.  In 2022, Ukrainian soldiers were found carrying mortars.

Ukraine Donbass December 2nd at the Torik Front Camp. In 2022, Ukrainian soldiers were found carrying mortars.
(Narciso Contreras/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

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In mid-September, Ukrainian forces crushed Moscow’s forces in the east, in northern Donetsk, after Ukrainian forces succeeded in pushing Russian forces out of the neighboring Kharkiv region to the west.

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Fighting intensified around Bakhmut, but areas such as Kramatorsk and Sloviansk pushed the fighting further afield.

Unconfirmed videos circulating on social media show images of the Earth scorched, recalling images from World War II darkened by incessant artillery fire from the notorious Wagner Group, believed to be spearheading Russia’s war.

A source described the battle to The Moscow Times this week as a meat grinder, and Ukraine’s defense ministry said Bakhmut was seeing some of the heaviest fighting in Ukraine at the moment.

Donetsk, one of the regions illegally occupied by Russia earlier this year, has been the scene of constant fighting since the war began nine months ago.

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Western officials worry that Russian President Vladimir Putin could drag the war out further into the winter months, giving Moscow the time it needs to regroup despite heavy losses.

Russian President Putin’s refusal to withdraw from Ukraine has seen the United States and its European allies tap Moscow’s war chest, including oil exports, The continuous supply of military weapons to Ukraine; It has forced it to starve Moscow’s war chest, including funding to hold Ukraine’s power and water. Winter.

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